Championship · Regular Season - 11
MillwallvsLincoln
Millwall vs Lincoln in Championship on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Millwall are ranked 10 in Championship, with 14 points from 10 games.
Lincoln are ranked 17 in Championship, with 11 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Millwall vs Lincoln
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- The Den
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
RealScored match analysis
Millwall vs Lincoln: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Millwall recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Lincoln recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Millwall | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Millwall: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lincoln: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Millwall recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SwanseaChampionship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PrestonChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| West HamChampionship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MiddlesbroughChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BlackburnChampionship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NewcastleLeague Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BoltonChampionship | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| WrexhamChampionship | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SouthamptonChampionship | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Cambridge UnitedLeague Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Millwall’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lincoln recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West HamChampionship | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Sheffield UtdChampionship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SwanseaChampionship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bristol CityChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PrestonChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BournemouthLeague Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| SouthamptonChampionship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BlackburnChampionship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BoltonChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BlackpoolLeague Cup | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Lincoln’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.