III Liga - Group 1 · Group I - 13
Mławianka MławavsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. in III Liga - Group 1 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are ranked 15 in Group I, with 12 points from 12 games.
Mławianka Mława are ranked 16 in Group I, with 10 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan Łowicz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Wisła Płock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Swit | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Olimpia Zambrów | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Widzew II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | ŁKS Łódź II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Mławianka Mława | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Łomża | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Mławianka Mława
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Mławianka Mława recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 32. Polonia Lidzbark Warm. recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mławianka Mława | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 32 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mławianka Mława: (2.20 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: (1.63 weighted goals scored + 3.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mławianka Mława recent form
2.10 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SwitIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| TroszynIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 4–7 | Lost | |
| ŁKS Łódź IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| WeszloIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mławianka Mława’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| WeszloIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pelikan ŁowiczIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Widzew IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Polonia Lidzbark Warm.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.