Third League - Northwest · Northwest - 9
PavlikenivsEtar VT II
Pavlikeni vs Etar VT II in Third League - Northwest on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Etar VT II are ranked 9 in Northwest, with 7 points from 6 games.
Pavlikeni are ranked 12 in Northwest, with 3 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akademik Svishtov | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Mezdra | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Yantra Polski Trambesh | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Partizan | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kom Berkovitsa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Sevlievo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Bdin | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Chavdar Troyan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Etar VT II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | OFK Levski | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Spartak Pleven II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Pavlikeni | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 | Juventus Malchika | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | -16 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Pavlikeni vs Etar VT II
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar VT II | 0–1 | Pavlikeni | Third League - Northwest |
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Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Pavlikeni
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Etar VT II
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Pavlikeni vs Etar VT II: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Pavlikeni recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Etar VT II recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 16 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pavlikeni | Etar VT II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 25 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pavlikeni: (0.70 weighted goals scored + 2.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Etar VT II: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pavlikeni recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PartizanThird League - Northwest | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Akademik SvishtovThird League - Northwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kom BerkovitsaThird League - Northwest | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| BdinThird League - Northwest | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SevlievoThird League - Northwest | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chavdar TroyanThird League - Northwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OFK LevskiThird League - Northwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BdinThird League - Northwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OFK LevskiThird League - Northwest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Troyan 2025Third League - Northwest | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pavlikeni’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Etar VT II recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven IIThird League - Northwest | Home | 9–3 | Won | |
| Yantra Polski TrambeshThird League - Northwest | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PartizanThird League - Northwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Akademik SvishtovThird League - Northwest | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Kom BerkovitsaThird League - Northwest | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yantra Polski TrambeshThird League - Northwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LitexThird League - Northwest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PartizanThird League - Northwest | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Akademik SvishtovThird League - Northwest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BdinThird League - Northwest | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Etar VT II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.