Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 10
RijnvogelsvsNoordwijk
Rijnvogels vs Noordwijk in Derde Divisie on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Derde Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Noordwijk are ranked 1 in Derde Divisie, with 22 points from 9 games.
Rijnvogels are ranked 3 in Derde Divisie, with 20 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 1 | Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | SC Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | ACV | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Dovo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 4 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 1 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | SVZW | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 1 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Rijnvogels vs Noordwijk
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noordwijk | 4–1 | Rijnvogels | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
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Match information
- Competition
- Derde Divisie
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Rijnvogels
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Noordwijk
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RealScored match analysis
Rijnvogels vs Noordwijk: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Rijnvogels recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 28 and conceding 8. Noordwijk recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 19 scored and 2 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rijnvogels | Noordwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 28 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 2 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rijnvogels: (2.77 weighted goals scored + 0.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Noordwijk: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rijnvogels recent form
2.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC LisseDerde Divisie | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Groene SterDerde Divisie | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| UDI '19Derde Divisie | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| VvsbKNVB Beker | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PoortugaalDerde Divisie | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| UNADerde Divisie | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| DongenDerde Divisie | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| BennekomKNVB Beker | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| GOESDerde Divisie | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Blauw GeelDerde Divisie | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rijnvogels’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Noordwijk recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GemertDerde Divisie | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| EVVDerde Divisie | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ZwaluwenDerde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FrisiaKNVB Beker | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TOGBDerde Divisie | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| VvsbDerde Divisie | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Excelsior MaassluisDerde Divisie | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GOESKNVB Beker | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| RoosendaalDerde Divisie | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Achilles VeenDerde Divisie | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Noordwijk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.