J2 League · Regular Season - 11
Results Only
Sagan TosuvsOmiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija in J2 League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Omiya Ardija are ranked 2 in J2 League, with 20 points from 10 games.
Sagan Tosu are ranked 15 in J2 League, with 11 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz Akita | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 10 |
| 20 | Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Sagan Tosu
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Omiya Ardija
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Sagan Tosu recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Omiya Ardija recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sagan Tosu | Omiya Ardija |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sagan Tosu: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Omiya Ardija: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sagan Tosu recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa FukuokaJ-League Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ-League Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vissel KobeEmperor Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IwakiJ2 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nara ClubJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Sagan Tosu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Omiya Ardija recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| UrawaEmperor Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ventforet KofuJ2 League | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gainare TottoriJ-League Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Vanraure HachinoheEmperor Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Omiya Ardija’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.