Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 12
Septemvri SimitlivsKyustendil
Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil in Third League - Southwest on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Septemvri Simitli are ranked 10 in Southwest, with 13 points from 11 games.
Kyustendil are ranked 16 in Southwest, with 9 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Slivnishki geroy | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 10 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Simitli | 2–0 | Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
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Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- National Stadium Vasil Levski
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Septemvri Simitli
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Kyustendil
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Septemvri Simitli recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Kyustendil recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Septemvri Simitli | Kyustendil |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Septemvri Simitli: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kyustendil: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 1.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Septemvri Simitli recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BanskoThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Natsional SofiaThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Septemvri Simitli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kyustendil recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BanskoThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Natsional SofiaThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kyustendil’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.