Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 10
Septemvri TervelvsChernolomets 1919
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets 1919 in Third League - Northeast on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chernolomets 1919 are ranked 2 in Northeast, with 17 points from 8 games.
Septemvri Tervel are ranked 8 in Northeast, with 11 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets 1919 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Cherno more II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets 1919
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Tervel | 0–4 | Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
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Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Septemvri Tervel
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Chernolomets 1919
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets 1919: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Septemvri Tervel recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 11. Chernolomets 1919 recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 25 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Septemvri Tervel | Chernolomets 1919 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Septemvri Tervel: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chernolomets 1919: (2.69 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Septemvri Tervel recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Septemvri DragoevoThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Spartak Varna IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cherno more IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chernomorets BalchikThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Septemvri Tervel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chernolomets 1919 recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cherno more IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Chernomorets BalchikThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chernolomets 1919’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.