Challenge League · Regular Season - 4
St. AndrewsvsMgarr United
St. Andrews vs Mgarr United in Challenge League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mgarr United are ranked 5 in First Division, with 6 points from 3 games.
St. Andrews are ranked 10 in First Division, with 4 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarxien Rainbows | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Fgura United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | Naxxar Lions | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Victoria Hotspurs | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Mgarr United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Melita | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Swieqi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Sirens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Vittoriosa Stars | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | St. Andrews | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Santa Lucía | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Pietà Hotspurs | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Zebbug Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Attard | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Zurrieq | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Gudja United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
St. Andrews vs Mgarr United
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Challenge League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
St. Andrews
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Mgarr United
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
St. Andrews vs Mgarr United: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
St. Andrews recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 20. Mgarr United recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | St. Andrews | Mgarr United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
St. Andrews: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mgarr United: (1.58 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Andrews recent form
0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gudja UnitedChallenge League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Santa LucíaChallenge League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Victoria HotspursChallenge League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BrechinFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pietà HotspursChallenge League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Swieqi UnitedChallenge League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BirzebbugaChallenge League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MelitaChallenge League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SirensChallenge League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Fgura UnitedChallenge League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from St. Andrews’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mgarr United recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vittoriosa StarsChallenge League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MelitaChallenge League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tarxien RainbowsChallenge League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ZurrieqChallenge League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Gudja UnitedChallenge League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Santa LucíaChallenge League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vittoriosa StarsChallenge League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Zebbug RangersChallenge League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MelitaChallenge Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MarsaChallenge League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Mgarr United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.