3. SNL - West · West - 10
TolminvsŠobec Lesce
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
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Match information
- Competition
- 3. SNL - West
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Tolmin
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Šobec Lesce
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce: match review and analysis
Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce in 3. SNL - West on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Tolmin recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Šobec Lesce recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tolmin | Šobec Lesce |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tolmin: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Šobec Lesce: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tolmin recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zidgrad Idrija3. SNL - West | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Svoboda3. SNL - West | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rudar Trbovlje3. SNL - West | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Izola3. SNL - West | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Žiri3. SNL - West | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Škofja Loka3. SNL - West | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IB 1975 Ljubljana3. SNL - West | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Šencur3. SNL - West | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Dob3. SNL - West | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Žiri3. SNL - West | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tolmin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Šobec Lesce recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šencur3. SNL - West | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dob3. SNL - West | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Vipava3. SNL - West | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Adria3. SNL - West | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Litija3. SNL - West | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IB 1975 Ljubljana3. SNL - West | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Zidgrad Idrija3. SNL - West | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Svoboda3. SNL - West | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rudar Trbovlje3. SNL - West | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IB 1975 Ljubljana3. SNL - West | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Šobec Lesce’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. SNL - West — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tolmin are ranked 6 in West, with 15 points from 9 games.
Šobec Lesce are ranked 13 in West, with 4 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 6 | 34 | 27 |
| 2 | Dob | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Zidgrad Idrija | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Šencur | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Litija | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Tolmin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Rudar Trbovlje | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Škofja Loka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Adria | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Žiri | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | IB 1975 Ljubljana | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 | Vipava | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 6 |
| 13 | Šobec Lesce | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 |
| 14 | Svoboda | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.