III Liga - Group 2 · Group II - 13
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Unia SwarzędzvsVictoria Września
Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września in III Liga - Group 2 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Unia Swarzędz are ranked 10 in Group II, with 14 points from 12 games.
Victoria Września are ranked 16 in Group II, with 11 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 28 |
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Flota Świnoujście | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Toruń | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kórnik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Swarzędz | 2–1 | Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
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Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Unia Swarzędz
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Victoria Września
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RealScored match analysis
Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Unia Swarzędz recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Victoria Września recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Unia Swarzędz | Victoria Września |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Unia Swarzędz: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Victoria Września: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Unia Swarzędz recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kotwica KórnikIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Wda ŚwiecieIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Unia Swarzędz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Victoria Września recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grom Nowy StawIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gedania GdanskIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Lipno StęszewIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chemik BydgoszczIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KaliszIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kotwica KórnikIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Victoria Września’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.