CAF Confederation Cup · 2nd Preliminary Round
Welwalo Adigrat UnivsAl Ahli Tripoli
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli in CAF Confederation Cup on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CAF Confederation Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- CAF Confederation Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Al Ahli Tripoli
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Al Ahli Tripoli recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 22 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Al Ahli Tripoli |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 0.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Ahli Tripoli: (2.09 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Welwalo Adigrat Uni recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halaba KetemaPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al Hilal Port SudanCAF Confederation Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al Hilal Port SudanCAF Confederation Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sidama BunnaEthiopia Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kedus GiorgisPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arba Minch KenemaPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hadiya HosaenaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sheger KetemaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ethiopian MedhinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mekelle KenemaEthiopia Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Welwalo Adigrat Uni’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Ahli Tripoli recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMKMCAF Confederation Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| KMKMCAF Confederation Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AsswehlyPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Olympic AzzaweyaPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-MadinaPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Alittihad MisurataPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al-IttihadPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AsswehlyPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al-KhmesPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Abu SalimPremier League | Home | 7–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Ahli Tripoli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.