Premier League · Regular Season - 2
Welwalo Adigrat UnivsFasil Ketema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Fasil Ketema in Premier League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni are ranked 8 in Premier League, with 1 points from 1 games.
Fasil Ketema are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 1 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopian Medhin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Mekelakeya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Adama Kenema | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bahardar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheger Ketema | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Kedus Giorgis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Halaba Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Negelle Arsi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Fasil Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Awassa Kenema | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Mebrat Hayl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ethiopia Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Hadiya Hosaena | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Fasil Ketema
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fasil Ketema | 1–2 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Premier League |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Fasil Ketema
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Fasil Ketema: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Fasil Ketema recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Fasil Ketema |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fasil Ketema: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Welwalo Adigrat Uni recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halaba KetemaPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al Hilal Port SudanCAF Confederation Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al Hilal Port SudanCAF Confederation Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sidama BunnaEthiopia Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kedus GiorgisPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arba Minch KenemaPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hadiya HosaenaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sheger KetemaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ethiopian MedhinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mekelle KenemaEthiopia Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Welwalo Adigrat Uni’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fasil Ketema recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welayta DichaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ethiopian MedhinPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kedus GiorgisPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Arba Minch KenemaPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hadiya HosaenaPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sheger KetemaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ethiopia BunnaPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Adama KenemaPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Mebrat HaylPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BahardarPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fasil Ketema’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.